Political stability, escalation risk, conflict dynamics, and state behavior that affect markets, investments, and cross-border operations. We assess the conditions under which situations deteriorate — and when they stabilise.

Regulatory exposure, strategic competition, AI governance, cyber risk, and the geopolitical implications of emerging and dual-use technologies. We track how technology shapes power and how power shapes technology.

Systemic disruption risk, institutional resilience, supply-chain vulnerability, and health-related governance constraints. We assess global health dynamics as a dimension of geopolitical and economic risk.